In the comfort of my own home

This week we are back at home, looking forward to seeing LSU host Alabama – on my couch, nice and cozy. It was a great time at Notre Dame last week, but it was cold. I am a little behind on my reviews, but here are my thoughts for last week:

I saw Ga Southern take 2OTs to beat South Alabama earlier this year. There is no way I can fathom how they beat App State – and it kept me from a perfect week. Maybe I should have noticed that they only lost to undefeated Minnesota by three points.

After Nebraska’s loss to Purdue, they have to win two out of three against Wisconsin, Maryland, and Iowa. I don’t see that happening. The season highlight for the Huskers? Game Day coming before the Ohio State slaughter.

Florida losing to Georgia ends their season. The remainder of their schedule, Vanderbilt, Missouri, and Florida State, gives them nothing to bolster their reputation.

Really thought Kansas would give K-State more trouble. Apparently not.

Did Clemson play this week? Oh yeah, they played Wofford – cupcake city. But, next few games could be trouble. NC State, Wake Forest, South Carolina

Memphis and SMU represented the AAC well on national TV.

Mac Brown has another rough weekend as UNC loses to Virginia by seven.

Oregon rolls against USC, but their remaining schedule won’t help much. Even with SEC (Bama and LSU) and Big Ten (PSU and Ohio State) eliminating two of the top four, I think they are going to need help to get into the FBS playoff.

Escapes: Baylor by over WVU by three, ND over VT by one, Cincinnati over East Carolina by three.

It was a good week for my picks. If not for the aforementioned App State lost, I would have gone a perfect four and oh. Alas I will have to settle for three and one. VT gave an inspired performance against ND, only to come up one point short but more than close enough given the 17 points they were getting. Georgia won outright and Bowling Green easily covered to give me a nice weekend. This week I like Boston College to easily handle a dying FSU and Iowa to keep it within 9.5 points against Wisconsin. Baylor should beat TCU by more than two. Lastly, I like LSU even if the game is in Tuscaloosa.

Thoughts on this week’s game:

  • What has happened to Army since they lost to Michigan 24 -21? They are now three and six with losses to Georgia State and San Jose State. Ouch. At least UMass is coming to town this weekend. That ought to be a win. Imagine if Michigan had lost to Army. I don’t think you’d see two Big 10 teams in the top four FBS rankings.
  • Ugh: South Alabama (1-7) vs Texas State (2-6) – I may have seen the best performance of South Alabama this year when they lost to Georgia Southern in OT.
  • Answer Games: Kansas State (6-2) at Texas (5-3) and Wake Forest (7-1) at Virginia Tech (5-3). See if the Power Cats and Demon Deacons are for real
  • I can’t believe Illinois is 5-4. Lovie Smith has righted the ship and that is saying something after they nearly lost to UConn. They should beat MSU.
  • Ole Miss has New Mexico State (0-8) this week. I bet they wished that was every weekend.
  • For some reason, I can see App State having a bounce back game against South Carolina
  • San Jose State versus Hawaii will probably be a good game. Too bad nobody will stay up to see it.

That’s all I got. Enjoy the games.

Roll Damn Tide

As I wait out a nine hour layover in Qatar, I figured I might as well write up a new post. We will publish the 2018 schedule in a couple of weeks and it looks to be a good one. In the process of mapping the 2018 season, I have come to an early conclusion on the 2018 BSC playoff. Shocker, I am betting that defending champion Alabama makes the playoff again. Actually, I am only wishing I was able to really bet. No wagering here as Texas drags its feet on legalizing betting despite the Supreme Court’s landmark decision in Murphy, Governor of New Jersey v. NCAA, which sounds more like some aggrieved Notre Dame alum railing against college football for unfairly penalizing the Irish for their independent schedule than the case legal gambling. Of course, it has nothing to do with whiny ND alums, although I would appreciate any legislation that does. Instead, it gives all of us punters the right to finally legally bet on college football if only our resident state will comply. Strange that my current home state of Texas will let me buy all the AK-47s and armor piercing bullets I want, but if I want to take the over in Texas Tech versus Boise State, I am shit out of luck. However, I digress. Let us refocus on the issue on hand and wonder at how the Crimson Tide schedules its way to the CFB playoffs every year.

I had already mapped out my schedule for the 2018 season when my son mentioned that he had an inside track on some ‘Bama tickets. The Tide was not on my schedule this year for a number of reasons, primarily because there wasn’t a South Alabama or UAB Thursday night game to pair with a Saturday in Tuscaloosa. With the chance to get reasonable tickets to ‘Bama, I checked out their schedule to see what might work for us. This is the Tide’s schedule for 2018:

This schedule is not exactly a murderers’ row. I did a little research and noted that five of these teams didn’t even have winning seasons in 2017 and if I subtract Texas A&M’s squeaker win over the FCS’ Nicholls last year, it brings that total to six teams. It is not particularly impressive when half your schedule was made up of last year’s losers.  Here’s another interesting nugget, half the teams ‘Bama plays will have brand new coaches. The Tide’s quality opponents in 2018? Discounting a Lamar Jackson-less Louisville, it leaves you with LSU (who lost to Troy in 2017), Mississippi State (new coach) and Auburn (who they have at home). Hell, I might as well add Sun Belt runner up Arkansas State to the list because there really isn’t anyone else.

Combine this with the strategic placement of the Citadel in a November game, and Saban will have his cupcake and eat it too. It is easy to see the Tide roll into the Auburn game undefeated, lose, and still make the playoffs because they only lost once! Oh, and assuming that loss eliminates them from the SEC championship game and as surely as an undefeated group of five team will be overlooked, the committee will let them in again. Enjoy that nice long three week vacation Nick, where you can coach up another freshman QB to save your ass. Look I am not bitter. Alabama won the championship fair and square last year. However, the playoff format has to change. The committee can’t keep rewarding teams for not winning their conference championships.

In the end, we still haven’t yet lined out the Alabama game for 2018. Honestly, their home games are pretty weak but as the saying goes, beggars can’t be choosers. Nonetheless, I will be damned if I going to ‘Bama to see them play the Citadel.